Lynn Shelton

Stormy Weather

The Weekly Report – Nov. 16, 2020
Annual survey shows COVID still very much on manufacturers’ minds.

As the numbers of COVID-19 cases across the country continue to climb, the takeaways from the 2020 edition of our annual State of Manufacturing® survey become increasingly relevant.

Gov. Tim Walz this week announced more measures to stop the virus’ spread as health officials reported a record 7,228 new cases on Thursday along with 39 deaths.

These kinds of ominous signs were already very much on the minds of the manufacturers who participated in our annual State of Manufacturing survey.

The COVID-19 pandemic has cast a long shadow over Minnesota’s manufacturers, triggering the deepest plunge in manufacturers’ expectations for their companies since the Great Recession of 2008, according to the 2020 edition of our survey.

A record low number of companies expect increased revenues in 2020; the number of executives who fear recession has increased seven-fold, and confidence in the business climate has sunk to half of what it was in 2018.

At our annual survey release event, which took place Nov. 5 — virtually, for the first time ever — pollster Rob Autry walked attendees through the survey’s results. Autry and his team at Meeting Street Insights, a South Carolina-based survey research company, interviewed a random sample of 400 Minnesota-based manufacturing executives.

This was the 12th edition of our survey and, without a doubt, this edition was among the most compelling. The effects of a nation and an industry struggling through a pandemic were baked into the results in undeniable ways.

Overall, 92% of manufacturers said that COVID-19 has had either a “major” (66%) or “modest” (26%) impact on Minnesota’s economy and business climate. Seventy percent say it has had a “major” (35%) or “modest” (35%) impact on their businesses. The impact appears to be felt less in the western half of the state.

Despite this, manufacturers continue to have confidence in their companies’ long-term resilience, as they have shown in all the years of the poll. This year, 85% declared confidence in the financial future of their companies. At the same time, however, 14% of executives were “not confident” in their future, three times worse than in 2019.

Other results:

  • Roughly two-thirds of manufacturers across the board said COVID-19 has impacted their business plan for 2020.
  • The survey revealed a significant increase in the number of manufacturers who fear recession, 36%, up from just 5% in 2019. Manufacturers have also soured on Minnesota’s business climate. Fully 35% said it has gotten worse — 20 points higher than 2018 — while 27% said it has gotten better, just half as many as 2018.
  • Key business metrics experienced the biggest slide in the history of the poll. Just 21% of executives expect an increase in gross revenues, down from 59% in 2019. Expectations for profitability also fell considerably. Only 24% anticipate increased profits, down from 45% in 2019.

These are just some of the results from the survey. To get a fuller look at the findings as well as the candid thoughts of manufacturers from the focus groups that accompanied the survey, check out the latest issue of Enterprise Minnesota magazine. Also, you can go to our web site, where we have links to a recording of the Nov. 5 State of Manufacturing event.

Visit the State of Manufacturing® website

Marsh McLennan_Agency

Events Calendar

November 19 – Are Your Leaders on Board?
Join talent expert Michele Neale as she demonstrates the art of change leadership and how to help your workforce adapt to change. Online via Zoom  Learn more and register

December 15 – Understanding Business Management: ISO
Expert Keith Gadacz will be outlining the basics of business management systems and how they can benefit your business. Learn how to get prepared for ISO certification and how to leverage its benefits. Online via Zoom  Learn more and register

January 13 – Driving Continuous Improvement in Uncertain Times
David Ahlquist will be demonstrating continuous improvement techniques that will keep employees engaged and focused on value-added activities, especially in times of uncertainty. Online via Zoom  Learn more and register

January 20 – Talent and Leadership Workshop with Michele Neale
Learn how to support and develop your leaders and employees to make them more resilient, adaptable and productive in times of change. Online via Zoom  Learn more and register

Industry News

Minnesota Jobs Skills Partnership grant to support mechatronics training
Supported by a $400,000 grant, MN State College Southeast’s Red Wing campus will collaborate with seven industry partners to bring mechatronics training to the area. Nov. 11,  Read more

U of M announces partnership to grow bioindustrial manufacturing
The partnership, involving both the US Dept. of Defense and nonprofit BioMADE, will include the design and operation of a new Manufacturing Innovation Institute on the St. Paul campus. Nov. 11, The Minnesota Daily  Read more

Minnesota’s skilled labor shortage an issue in Central Minnesota
In a virtual roundtable discussion with Central Minnesota manufacturing leaders, Steve Grove of MN DEED heard about challenges in finding qualified workers, despite relatively high unemployment. Nov. 9, SC Times  Read more

Cirtec Medical Corp. opens new facility in Brooklyn Park
The medical device manufacturer celebrated the opening of a new expansion which will produce an implantable neuromodulation device and is expected to create 200 new jobs. Nov. 5, MSP Business Journal  Read more

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